What to Expect in the Next Debate

Yes, Hillary Clinton beat the dragon the other night. She won on points and brought her game. Trump started out very strong but was overwhelmed about half way through and fizzled. He did not implode but maybe if the debate had gone on five minutes longer… As I wrote late Monday night after the debate,…

Clinton, Trump and the Battle for Authenticity

Like beauty, pornography, and soul, it is hard to define authenticity. As Supreme Court Justice Byron White noted, “you just know it when you see it”. But it is the sine qua non for any successful presidential candidate. Americans demand a President they can relate to and, even more importantly, one who can relate to…

Trump vs. Clinton: No Surges or Free Falls

I have been polling professionally for 32 years now and I have been engaged in the day-to-day polling of Presidential races since 1992. That is a very long time but one thing has not changed: the annoying media coverage of every minute of every day of every campaign. It is the moral equivalent of the…

Hillary Clinton’s Crisis

Here is a polling question for history fans: If the election were held today and the candidates were Republican Nero, Democrat Catherine de Medici, and Libertarian Timothy Leary, for whom would you? An impossible match up but, in some ways, a real one. None of these are credible or beloved characters from history – at…

Pneumonia Is a Very Serious Matter

I am not a physician nor do I play one on TV. But I have had “Walking Pneumonia” four times in my life – in 1982, 1983, 1984 and 1986. (Since that time a powerful pneumonia shot has been developed, generally good for ten years or so, and I have been blessed). But my point…

Clinton and Trump: How Not To Win a Majority

As I write this column, the presidential race is pretty much tied. Both candidates are stuck somewhere between the high 30s and low forties in national polls and, contrary to the views of some pundits, the states do not produce a clear winner just yet either. Yes, indeed, Hillary Clinton now “leads” in several battleground…

Arizona and Florida Primaries: Is the Insurgency Over?

Tuesday, August 30, was a very big day for the Establishment in both political parties. Four hotly contested races left the insurgencies in both parties reeling as well-known, experienced, well-financed candidates drubbed their opponents. In Florida, Senator Marco Rubio easily defeated a challenge from homebuilder Carlos Beruff who sank more than $8 million of his…

New From John Zogby, founder of the world-famous Zogby Poll

“Original, insightful, exceptionally well written, organized and presented, We are Many, We are One: Neo-Tribes and Tribal Analytics in 21st Century America is a model of modern scholarship and an invaluable contribution to the field of demographics. Unreservedly recommended for community, governmental, college, and university library American Demographic Studies collections.”  — The Midwest Book Review,…