Like beauty, pornography, and soul, it is hard to define authenticity. As Supreme Court Justice Byron White noted, “you just know it when you see it”. But it is the sine qua non for any successful presidential candidate. Americans demand a President they can relate to and, even more importantly, one who can relate to…
DetailsI have been polling professionally for 32 years now and I have been engaged in the day-to-day polling of Presidential races since 1992. That is a very long time but one thing has not changed: the annoying media coverage of every minute of every day of every campaign. It is the moral equivalent of the…
DetailsHere is a polling question for history fans: If the election were held today and the candidates were Republican Nero, Democrat Catherine de Medici, and Libertarian Timothy Leary, for whom would you? An impossible match up but, in some ways, a real one. None of these are credible or beloved characters from history – at…
DetailsI am not a physician nor do I play one on TV. But I have had “Walking Pneumonia” four times in my life – in 1982, 1983, 1984 and 1986. (Since that time a powerful pneumonia shot has been developed, generally good for ten years or so, and I have been blessed). But my point…
DetailsAs I write this column, the presidential race is pretty much tied. Both candidates are stuck somewhere between the high 30s and low forties in national polls and, contrary to the views of some pundits, the states do not produce a clear winner just yet either. Yes, indeed, Hillary Clinton now “leads” in several battleground…
DetailsTuesday, August 30, was a very big day for the Establishment in both political parties. Four hotly contested races left the insurgencies in both parties reeling as well-known, experienced, well-financed candidates drubbed their opponents. In Florida, Senator Marco Rubio easily defeated a challenge from homebuilder Carlos Beruff who sank more than $8 million of his…
Details“Original, insightful, exceptionally well written, organized and presented, We are Many, We are One: Neo-Tribes and Tribal Analytics in 21st Century America is a model of modern scholarship and an invaluable contribution to the field of demographics. Unreservedly recommended for community, governmental, college, and university library American Demographic Studies collections.” — The Midwest Book Review,…
DetailsThe post convention bounces are over. At least for a few days so is the Donald Trump self-inflicted implosion phase of the campaign. Although, it has only been exactly three days since his new campaign manager has entered the fray and enforced some discipline and some common sense talk on the Donald. So we will…
DetailsAs campaigns go, Donald Trump had a terrible week. A miserable one, to be sure. I remember George McGovern trying to recover from the news of his running mate Tom Eagleton being treated for severe depression, then having to explain a claim that every American would get $1,000 from the federal government. McGovern was always…
DetailsJust because you’re paranoid, the old saying goes, does not mean that people are not against you. That must be how Bernie Sanders feels today as Wikileaks provided validation of just how the Democratic National Committee was indeed colluding against his candidacy – something he had been saying right along. Okay, so party leaders have…
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