Yesterday former President Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts. We’re not legal experts but we want to share some thoughts on what it means for the race and the court of public opinion.
In the short term, whenever there have been legal controversies, Trump has been able to project a sense of being a victim and that has helped him. We also know that voters have told us that if he were convicted of a crime – there are many who have said they would be less likely to support Trump in the race. But timing is everything. Right up until the moment of the verdict we see the polling converging. Given where the polls stand, we do have a potential for a lead switch, with Trump losing support among some independents.
We’ll look at this event through the lens of polling as well as psychology. A lot has to do with how Trump will respond in the coming weeks. When we look at the all important battleground states that will decide the election, Trump still leads.
So what are your thoughts? How do you think this will impact the race if at all?
