John Zogby Strategies conducted a survey almost 3 weeks into the US and Israeli war with Iran, on March 17 and 18th.
The survey of 1,000 likely US voters in the 2028 General election yields an overall sampling margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points.
Key insights and analysis follow:
- When asked questions about President Trump’s military operations to date being effective or ineffective, or whether the President should stop all operations or continue until Iran is defeated, the public is divided along partisan lines. For example, 46% of voters said the President has been effective to date, vs. 46% who have said the President has been ineffective. 76% of Democrats reported the operations were ineffective, 79% of Republicans reported the operations were effective, and more independent voters (49%) viewed the operations as ineffective, compared to 40%.
- A similar breakdown emerges when asking voters about how the unfolding of events in Iran impacting the US on the world stage, with 40% saying the US emerges as more credible vs. 48% who say less credible – also along partisan lines, but with most (54%) independent voters believing the US is less credible following the war in Iran.
- When asked about stopping or continuing operations until Iran is defeated, voters remain evenly divided 39% to 39%, again along partisan lines.
- Consensus emerges, however, on key questions such as impact on personal finances and support for US boots on the ground:
- A strong majority (62%) of voters anticipate a negative impact on their personal finances, vs. just 20% who anticipate a positive impact, leaving roughly one-fifth (18%) undecided.
- Regarding support for US boots on the ground in Iran, 27% support vs. 63% oppose. Among Republican voters, the support/opposition ratio is 62%/29%; among Democrats, it is 12%/77%; and among independent voters, it’s 27%/58%.
In the final analysis, Pollster Jeremy Zogby points out that, “the electorate is divided over the success of the military operations ordered by President Trump as well as whether to stop all military action or continue until Iran is defeated. However, when presented with increased commitment in the form of boots on the ground as well as the anticipation of financial impact on their personal finances, positive feelings about the war efforts sharply decline among voters.
Contact jeremy@johnzogbystrategies.com for data.
