Three days after the 2026 election, John reviews what he calls a historic drubbing and repudiation of Donald Trump and the GOP, with Democrats projected to rise into the 250s in House seats and make unexpected Senate gains, though still short of veto-proof margins. He shares exit-poll findings from a 79,000-person sample (in-person plus phone/email…
KEY FINDINGS Democrat El-Sayed leads in the two-way race for Michigan Senator by 2 percentage points. The Democratic coalition for El-Sayed comes from Democrats, women, Hispanics, Blacks, voters under 30, and the Union vote. Rogers’ coalition is strongest among men, whites, Generation X, Boomers+, and veterans. El-Sayed voters show greater strength of support with…
KEY FINDINGS Consistent with results from congressional districts nationwide, Democrats lead in the national generic ballot for congress by 6 percentage points. In recent history, a Democratic lead 4.5 to 5 percentage points in this national popular reading has been sufficient for the party to gain seats. Note, the Democrats need only a pickup…