Three days after the 2026 election, John reviews what he calls a historic drubbing and repudiation of Donald Trump and the GOP, with Democrats projected to rise into the 250s in House seats and make unexpected Senate gains, though still short of veto-proof margins. He shares exit-poll findings from a 79,000-person sample (in-person plus phone/email…
KEY FINDINGS Democrat El-Sayed leads in the two-way race for Michigan Senator by 2 percentage points. The Democratic coalition for El-Sayed comes from Democrats, women, Hispanics, Blacks, voters under 30, and the Union vote. Rogers’ coalition is strongest among men, whites, Generation X, Boomers+, and veterans. El-Sayed voters show greater strength of support with…
KEY FINDINGS Consistent with results from congressional districts nationwide, Democrats lead in the national generic ballot for congress by 6 percentage points. In recent history, a Democratic lead 4.5 to 5 percentage points in this national popular reading has been sufficient for the party to gain seats. Note, the Democrats need only a pickup…
In this episode of Real Polling in Real Time with Zogby, Jermey and John Zogby discuss a private proprietary poll conducted in Ohio that captured rapid opinion shifts as news spread about an ad used by Ramaswamy against Amy Acton involving Acton’s estranged mother. In this example we can see an instance where Gladiator politics…
A crescendo has been slowly building since the latter half of October. That crescendo is happening as we speak and is anticipated with greater voracity.
The polls are re-emerging as the scapegoat. Here’s an Independent pollster’s take.
Reasons why it is too soon to call a blue wave.
The Independent Pollster weighs in on their vital importance in the 2026 midterm election’s issues, process, and outcome.
Two weeks before Election Day, we’ll discuss daily tracking and note an unusual lack of polling movement in multiple battleground races, with shifts often within the margin of error. Let’s compare this “frozen” environment to prior cycles that saw noticeable swings, but also talk about the nature of turnout models, which can vary by pollster…
With just 22 days left until election day, John and Jeremy Zogby break down the latest battleground polling and state of the race in this special edition of Real Polling in Real Time. Using Boston Celtics legend Red Auerbach’s famous victory cigar as a metaphor, John and Jeremy analyze whether Democrats are positioned to take…