The week began with a monumental victory for the Democrats with Sen. Raphael Warnock’s win in Georgia. This race was through to give the Dems some them breathing room. But last night Sen. Sinema of Arizona announced she’s leaving the Democratic Party and has as an Independent. She will not not caucus w/ the Democrats.…
Today on the podcast we have a very special guest – legendary strategist Joe Trippi. Joe Trippi has worked for Democrats at every level over 4 decades – from Ted Kennedy, Walter Mondale and managing Howard Dean’s groundbreaking presidential campaign in 2004. Trippi has been a media and campaign strategist for dozens of Senate and…
The midterms are officially over and already the campaign for 2024 has begun. Beginning with the Democrat’s showing in the midterms, Joe Biden is taking a victory lap and we’ve also seen the immediate announcement of a presidential run from Donald Trump. While all the pundits are already talking about the next election cycle we…
Among all the analysis and predictions of a red wave from so many pundits and pollsters, when we looked at our numbers we were not surprised by the outcome of this week’s election. And while all the races are not yet called, once again It’s looking like control of the Senate will depend on the…
Today we’re going to look at the latest data including our own that suggests that especially in the key races around the country things continue to be fluid. Specifically, we’ll look at races in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania Arizona and more. What’s going on here is that not matter how good the science is in polling…
Today we’re obviously going to focus on the election. But it’s irresponsible for us to make any concrete projections or predictions. Polls are still swinging back and forth and while things are still in the Republican’s favor, anything can happen between now and Election Day. First, let’s look at the latest happenings in the most…
We’ve been talking about cycles of momentum and the state of the most competitive races in the country for several weeks now. We’ve seen swings of momentum for both parties around inflation, gas prices, Supreme Court decisions and more – and it appear that for the moment there is a swing happening in favor of…
Today, let’s talk about turnout models. During a presidential election it’s fair to say the turnout models can be more favorable to democrats. More women, young people, African Americans and Latinos come out to vote. In off-year elections you’re looking at an older, more male more conservative turnout. This year, Democrats are concerned that support…
Today on the podcast we’ll go beyond the horse race and who is up, who is down of polling. Let’s really get into what people believe and why they believe what they do. We have a new nationwide poll of likely voters on a host of issues including Transgender issues, the war in Ukraine, inflation,…
Today on the podcast let’s talk about our profession – polling. There have been several articles coming out asking ‘ will they get it wrong again this year?’ So what can polls actually tell us vs what do we want them to tell us? Everyone hangs on the horserace number – but its’ the wrong…