With roughly 40 days to go until the midterms, prediction markets favor a Democratic sweep—but fresh data from the latest Zogby poll suggests the race is tightening. Today, we’ll break down the numbers from over 1,000 likely voters, analyzing why a simple Democratic victory is far from guaranteed. We’ll cover: The Shrinking Generic Ballot: How…
Last year at the annual International Association of Political Consultants conference, I sat on a panel discussion titled “The Perils of Polling”. I was asked about the profession’s future and whether it was still relevant. As a long-time Independent pollster who has served clients across the values spectrum, with a proven track record, I’m in…
New Zogby Poll of 1,007 US Likely Midterm Voters, With a Margin of Error +/- 3.2 Following last month’s John Zogby Strategies August 4th poll in which Democrats led Republicans by 9 percentage points, Republicans have narrowed the gap and trail Democrats by 6 percentage points, according to our latest poll conducted September 15-17,…