Independents – Voters Neither Party Gets
An in-depth look at a dynamic group that recently made history and will continue to alter the political landscape. Here’s how and why.
The War in Iran Number That Should Alarm Both Parties
Among parents with children 17 and under — a consequential swing cohort heading into November — President Trump’s handling of the Iran conflict has become a major issue where disapproval has outpaced approval. That number alone has political strategists on both sides paying attention.
Will 2026 Midterm Voter Turnout Surge or Cave?
Looking closely at every national election both Midterm and Presidential going back to our founding, I’ve identified 6 major voter turnout cycles characterized by surges and collapse, including details on the driving forces behind each. Taking the long view of history (via a swift comprehensive chart) allows us to go deeper beyond analysis offering greater…
Voter Profiles You Should Know Series 1: Parents with Young Kids
A couple of weeks ago, while on a walk with an elder neighbor, the well-to-do retired Attorney told me, “I think parents your age with children have it the most difficult I’ve seen in my life.” It was a kind and rare gesture to acknowledge what parents face today, which can be described as somewhere…
Two Charts Signal A Global Revolution Ahead
The President’s decision to blockade the Strait of Hormuz feels a bit like a David-and-Goliath showdown. It is likely to have decisive consequences for the establishment of a world order. The interests of too many nations, large and small, are tied up in this one spot. While there are numerous potential outcomes, the main one…
From Trump’s Winning Coalition 2.0 Back to 1.0
A close look at President Trump’s collapse of approval ratings among bellwether voting groups that helped carry him to victory and where they stand today.
