President Luis Abinader, Dominican Republic
Accurately forecasted Abinader’s victory in the 2020 Dominican Presidential Election.
John McCain for President (1999)
I was polling for Reuters and we did a poll in New Hampshire in April, exactly one year before the NH Primary. The poll tested 11 GOP candidates — George W. Bush, Elizabeth Dole, Jack Kemp, Dan Quayle, John McCain, Lamar Alexander, etc. In the simple horse race, we found Bush leading with 34%, Dole…
Michael Bloomberg for Mayor of New York City (1999)
In preparation for 2001, Bloomberg\’s team hired me to do two polls and a couple of focus groups. At the time, Hillary Clinton was popular in NYC and the city\’s Public Advocate Mark Green was the frontrunner. Bloomberg\’s name was known but in a different context, not as a candidate. I came in as a skeptic but…
Candidate for City Judge, Utica, NY (1996)
The story is of a prominent attorney in Utica who had run for city judge three times and never gotten more than 20% of the vote. He came to me in 1995 looking to run again, this time against a longtime sitting judge, after a long conversation we decided to do a focus group to…
Ehud Barak for Prime Minister, State of Israel (Center for Middle East Peace, 1997)
I was approached by the Center, which was founded and run by Danny Abraham, an American Jewish activist who was the founder of Nutri-System. Barak was in a tight race with Bibi Netanyahu and Abraham and his chief consultant, James Carville, wanted to know if there was a common denominator about the growing numbers of…