Today we’re going to start off with some big news. John’s new book “Beyond The Horse Race: How to Read Polls and Why We Should” is available at Amazon, Barnes and Noble and More. Yesterday was also the first major press interview with Kamala Harris and Tim Walz on CNN. They still have momentum and…
Today on the podcast let’s update the state of the race. We don’t know who’s going to win but we’ll give you how we see the state of the contest after a historic summer or change. The Harris ticket’s biggest challenge out of the gate has been party unity – and so far it looks…
Like those across the country we’re formulating our own thoughts about the tragic events over the weekend. No matter what your feelings are about any of the candidates running for office – this is terrible. Is there a world where both Biden and Trump drop out and if so, what would that do to the…
It’s the morning after the great debate and we need to discuss what happened. If there’s one word that can describe the debate that hasn’t been used thus far – it’s disturbing. Neither of the nominees showed they have a legitimate claim to be president of the United States based on this performance. President Biden…
We have just about 4.5 months to go until the November elections. It’s a good time to take a deep breath and see where things stand. The short answer is that it’s tied. When you add the minor candidates in the race the story is about the same with Trump leading by approx. 2%. But…
Yesterday former President Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts. We’re not legal experts but we want to share some thoughts on what it means for the race and the court of public opinion. In the short term, whenever there have been legal controversies, Trump has been able to project a sense of being…
This week – the cover of Time Magazine has Biden on a bicycle with the word Stuck on it. So today let’s talk about the state of the race. In many of the latest polls, Biden is within a percentage point of Trump – so it’s within the margin of error, with Biden building a…
It’s clear that swing voters are the constituency that determines the outcome of our elections. This year we’re talking about the Double Haters – those to who do not like both Trump and Biden. And most of those voters dislike both candidates intensely – and they are still likely voters. So today, let’s talk about…
Trump won SC convincingly over Haley by over 20 points, but her strategy is one of waiting for Trump to implode and staying in the race in case that happens. But the reality is that the primary voters in the Republican contests so far are decidedly in the MAGA camp. So what does Haley do?…
Today on the podcast we’ll be looking at the current state of the Republican primary race. With DeSantis out, Nikki Haley has to win somewhere and New Hampshire is the place to do it. Is it likely? Not really. In fact, Trump’s numbers have actually been growing. So what do we think might happen, and…