We’ve done another survey of almost 1,200 likely voters with a good margin of error of 2.9% on the subject of hyper polarization. We wanted to know who Americans think represents their values, and more importantly is there any consensus. We asked about organizations, people (including moms) and institutions. The results might give us a…
Yesterday former President Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts. We’re not legal experts but we want to share some thoughts on what it means for the race and the court of public opinion. In the short term, whenever there have been legal controversies, Trump has been able to project a sense of being…
We poll likely voters all year round. But how likely are today’s likely voters going to be likely voters in November? Are there facts that may cause them to not vote between and then? In our business we’ve learned that there can be changes that can have profound effects. Most likely voters are committed. But…
Today on the podcast let’s dive into what the summer holds for the 2024 election. Will it be a summer for history such as the summer of 1968? That summer marked a tremendous change in the political landscape and was a point where the country was seriously split by the Vietnam war, a large student-led…
Today let’s talk about the Electoral College – it seems like every 4 years we have the same debate about the usefulness or legitimacy of its existence. It was founded around the idea that there would in some ways get a final check against the ‘mob’ when it comes to the presidential election. It also…
We need to talk about the elephant in the room, which is the horrible situation in Gaza. This is in fact a political situation as well as a humanitarian crisis. The videos and images coming out of Gaza show a dire situation that has been having a large impact on people and constituencies across the…
This week – the cover of Time Magazine has Biden on a bicycle with the word Stuck on it. So today let’s talk about the state of the race. In many of the latest polls, Biden is within a percentage point of Trump – so it’s within the margin of error, with Biden building a…
It’s clear that swing voters are the constituency that determines the outcome of our elections. This year we’re talking about the Double Haters – those to who do not like both Trump and Biden. And most of those voters dislike both candidates intensely – and they are still likely voters. So today, let’s talk about…
The state of the union was last night and was perhaps the most important speech of Biden’s life. We’ll add our thoughts to the challenges that he faced including his age, health, Gaza, the economy and more. It was a loud and fiery speech. So how did he do? Did he alleviate any of the…
Trump won SC convincingly over Haley by over 20 points, but her strategy is one of waiting for Trump to implode and staying in the race in case that happens. But the reality is that the primary voters in the Republican contests so far are decidedly in the MAGA camp. So what does Haley do?…
This week, while there were potentially indictable behaviors, the special prosecutor has chosen not to pursue an indictment of President Biden. Was the scope of the investigation out of bounds? Is Biden dying a political death by a thousand cuts due to his age? Regardless of age – are there any candidates or presidents that…
Today on the podcast we’ll be looking at the current state of the Republican primary race. With DeSantis out, Nikki Haley has to win somewhere and New Hampshire is the place to do it. Is it likely? Not really. In fact, Trump’s numbers have actually been growing. So what do we think might happen, and…