I have learned some important lessons as a veteran pollster. First, don’t ever try to call a race that is too close to call. I tried that in 2004 by calling a John Kerry victory even though my polls showed President George W. Bush with a narrow lead. Second, no matter who wins, the pundits…
It is now Friday before the big election and Democrats are in a good position to win control of the House of Representatives for the first time since January 2011. They need 23 seats to achieve this and are clearly heading in the right direction. But they are not there yet. I am a pollster…
There is a lot of data to sort through as November 6 draws near. We know that interest is at peak level, early voting numbers are at record highs in many states, and both Congress watchers and polling aggregators are still predicting a Big Blue Wave. For my part, I am still not there. Let’s…
By Steve Kraske skraske@kcstar.com October 11, 2018 02:13 PM Updated October 11, 2018 04:33 PM You’re probably like a lot of people. You look at political polls and think, “I can’t trust them.” But maybe you’re the problem. Maybe you don’t understand how they work and how much stock to put in them. Maybe…
I will begin by restating what I have said many times: trust the polls not the pundits. It is getting to be a real problem believing the talking heads on television who are all now warriors in the Trump-Anti-Trump camp. Just as in the closing days of the 2016 campaign, there were plenty of folks…
Achieving a college degree has long been a pillar of the American Dream. However, based on two John Zogby Strategies polls -one conducted in September of 2017 and another in July of 2018 – we are seeing a deep divide in the overall public perception over whether or not achieving a college degree can…
by Jeremy Zogby Amidst the growing intensity and louder calls for independence around the globe, John Zogby Strategies once again conducted a nationwide poll on the topic over the July 4th holiday. We asked 1,001 likely voters the following question: Which of the following is closer to your view? Statement A: If a majority…
From Forbes, by John Zogby I was recently quoted in a Boston Herald story that suggested that Democratic pundits favor a new face to lead their party into the next presidential election. Personally, I was not saying that. I was only reacting to the trial balloon that Hillary Clinton is considering another bid for the…
From Forbes, by John Zogby A recent Harvard -Harris Poll provides some insights as to why President Donald Trump’s support is actually increasing among voters and offers data to explain why he may be re-elected in 2020. I realize that many people don’t want to hear that but hiding from a noxious reality is…
From Forbes, by John Zogby The Donald Trump Presidency defies all the rules, not unlike like the Trump personality. It is difficult to find good news about what the President is doing and what he has accomplished. Often enough even the accomplishments fail to please very many people inside the Beltway or among the…