I have had a chance to comb through the exit polls from November 8. I have already written about the Democrats’ dismal day, especially the performance of Hillary Clinton. But I want to now take a look at something that did not happen. Despite the fact that the President and First Lady could not translate…
Some of the best known talking heads fell on their faces all through the election, including Election Night. How could Donald Trump be winning when the polls showed beyond a reasonable doubt that Hillary Clinton was marching nonstop to the White House? First, the polls were not so bad after all. Aside from the usual…
Time for some straight talk. This election was not a repudiation of the status quo or a rejection of Barack Obama’s “third term”. On the contrary, of those 140 million voters yesterday, 54% gave President Obama a positive job approval rating and more (31%) said they were doing better financially than said they were doing…
I am live from Washington, DC where I think I am the only cautious voice around. Whether it is from the aggregators, the odds-makers, the soothsayers with their laptops full of data, or the reporters, all I am hearing about is a easy victory for Hillary Clinton tonight. The nationwide polls, for the most part,…
Exactly four year years ago to the day, I wrote a column for Forbes entitled, “What If It Isn’t Close After All?” My topic was about the 2012 election and the break toward President Obama that my polls and those of other pollsters were showing. As you recall, that election was a close one and…
I am going to cut the suspense and flat out answer the question. Sometimes winning is worse. As for example, this presidential election. Let’s start with Hillary Clinton. Her campaign theme is “Stronger Together” but her campaign shows that she still has 60% of the voters who have an unfavorable opinion of her (2 points…
FBI Director James Comey’s decision to notify Congressional leaders of the reopening of the Hillary Clinton email investigation is a huge story and could prove to be the October surprise folks have been wondering about. Of course, it might turn out to be something that fizzles out or it could even be overshadowed by another…
There are lots of political polls out there this year and there seems to be something for everyone. Hillary Clinton’s team seizes every opportunity to taut the polls – almost all of which show her leading nationally and in key battleground states – as proof of an inevitable victory, possibly even a large mandate to…
Both candidates came out in full force tonight. This was clearly the best debate of the three. There was substance, thanks to moderator Chris Wallace, and discipline. While I and a lot of other people expected Donald Trump to slash and burn tonight and throw everything at Hillary Clinton, the format just didn’t allow too…
With only about three weeks to go before our long national nightmare is over, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by an average of about 5 points in the major national polls. The last five polls that have been published have something for everyone to hang on to: NBC/Wall Street Journal shows Clinton with an 11…