What the Polls May Really Be Telling Us

There are lots of political polls out there this year and there seems to be something for everyone. Hillary Clinton’s team seizes every opportunity to taut the polls – almost all of which show her leading nationally and in key battleground states – as proof of an inevitable victory, possibly even a large mandate to…

Where the Race Stands Today

With only about three weeks to go before our long national nightmare is over, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by an average of about 5 points in the major national polls. The last five polls that have been published have something for everyone to hang on to: NBC/Wall Street Journal shows Clinton with an 11…

Donald Trump Lives: Reactions From The Second Debate

In Sunday night’s debate, Donald Trump entered as a universally recognized dead candidate. How could anyone survive such self-inflicted wounds? He was coming off of a terrible debate performance focused more on defending how wealthy he really was rather than expounding on pressing issues. His performance featured a gratuitously stupid challenge to a former Miss Universe. And…

Kaine Wins on Substance, Loses on Style

The two seasoned warriors came out tonight to mix it up. Both showed they were ready to serve as either President or Vice-President. Tim Kaine has served in government at “all levels” and Mike Pence has successfully governed his state. Their philosophical differences were clear and Americans have a choice. Kaine came right out punching…

If the Election Were Held Today, for Whom Would You Vote?

In the election of 2016, the candidates for President are: Republican, The Emperor Nero of Rome, narcissistic, extravagant, and tyrannical. He felt the burn almost 2000 years ago. Democrat, Catherine de Medici of Florence but Queen of France. Competent, respected by many, hated by most. Libertarian Dr. Timothy Leary, a famed toker, splits his residence…

What to Expect in the Next Debate

Yes, Hillary Clinton beat the dragon the other night. She won on points and brought her game. Trump started out very strong but was overwhelmed about half way through and fizzled. He did not implode but maybe if the debate had gone on five minutes longer… As I wrote late Monday night after the debate,…

Clinton, Trump and the Battle for Authenticity

Like beauty, pornography, and soul, it is hard to define authenticity. As Supreme Court Justice Byron White noted, “you just know it when you see it”. But it is the sine qua non for any successful presidential candidate. Americans demand a President they can relate to and, even more importantly, one who can relate to…

Trump vs. Clinton: No Surges or Free Falls

I have been polling professionally for 32 years now and I have been engaged in the day-to-day polling of Presidential races since 1992. That is a very long time but one thing has not changed: the annoying media coverage of every minute of every day of every campaign. It is the moral equivalent of the…